Saturday, January 16, 2016

modeling - Physical commodity trading quantitative risk return model


I am very new to commodities, I was previously in portfolio management/optimization (Black Litterman Markowitz etc). I am now a Buy-Sell analyst for Petrochemicals, and need to understand the basic concepts of physical commodity trading in order to create a model supporting trading decisions. I have been through Investopedia, IHS, Forbes, and a few other sources with a comb but am yet to find any actual simple examples of incorporating variables like risk appetite or political risk into a risk-return model for a single transaction. Any help/ advice on where to start is highly appreciated, I am completely lost.




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