Tuesday, November 8, 2016

stochastic processes - CIR Process from Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process



The wikipedia entry on the CIR Model states that "this process can be defined as a sum of squared Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process" but provides no derivation or reference. Can any one do that? I could only derive equilibrium level for special numbers proportional to natural numbers and not for arbitrary real numbers.



Answer



I don't think that the statement you reference is correct for general nR but only for nN.


The intuition behind this is that each Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is normally distributed. Thus the sum of n squared OU processes is chi-squared distributed with n degrees of freedom. Define X to be a n-dimensional vector valued OU process with


dXit=αXitdt+βdWit,


where W is a n-dimensional vector of independent Brownian motions. Let


Yt=ni=1(Xit)2.


Note that


d(Xit)2=2XitdXit+2dXit=(2α(Xit)2+β2)dt+2βXitdWit


Thus



dYt=d(ni=1(Xit)2)=ni=1d(Xit)2=(2αYt+nβ2)dt+2βni=1XitdWit,


where the second step follows from the independence of the Brownian motions. Next note that the process


Zt=t0ni=1XiudWiu


is a martingale with quadratic variation


Zt=t0ni=1(Xiu)2du=t0Yudu.


Consequently, by Levy's characterization theorem, the process


˜Wt=t01Yuni=1XiudWiu


is a Brownian motion. Thus


dYt=(2αYt+nβ2)dt+2βYtd˜Wt=κ(θYt)dt+ξYtdWt,


where κ=2α, θ=nβ2/2α and ξ=2β.



This can be generalized to nR by considering a time-change of a squared Bessel process. A comprehensive reference is Chapter 6 in Jeanblanc, Yor and Chesney (2009) "Mathematical Methods for Financial Markets", Springer.


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