Thursday, October 27, 2016

options - What causes the call and put volatility surface to differ?



I currently have a local volatility model that uses the standard Black Scholes assumptions.


When calculating the volatility surface, what causes the difference between the call volatility surface, and the put surface?



Answer



The reason for put and call volatilities to appear different is that the implied vol has been calculated using different drift parameters than those implied by the market.


Let's take everything in the model as given except the interest rate $r$ and the volatility $\sigma$. For European options we have the Black-Scholes formula for put and call values $V_{P,C}$


$$ V_{P,C}=BS_{P,C}(r,\sigma) $$


Now, although it is common practice to run this equation backwards to "imply" the volatility $\sigma$


$$ \sigma_{\text{Imp}} = BS^{-1}_{\sigma}(r,V) $$


we can see that from a mathematical point of view we could imply $r$ instead


$$ r_{\text{Imp}} = BS^{-1}_{r}(\sigma,V). $$



Obviously, using a different $r$ affect options prices and therefore implied volatilities.


Consider now the consequences of receiving prices from someone using the Black-Scholes model. For concreteness I will take $T=1, K=S=100$ and no carry cost. Let's say you think $r=1\%$. I give you put and call prices of $7.95$ and $11.80$. You will get a put vol of $21.3\%$ and a call vol of $28.6\%$. Seem familiar?


That's because I actually generated those prices using $r=4\%$. If you had used the same drift parameter $r$ as I had employed, you would have computed both volatilities to be $25\%$.


Generally, risk-free interest rates are not too hard to pin down, but we have other effects on drift where the parameters are not so obvious. This includes dividends, borrow costs and funding costs. Each of these terms is typically treated as a deterministic "carry cost" but even in the simple case of European options it is not necessarily clear what values should be used for them.


So to your answer your question, the difference between put and call volatility surfaces is a symptom of your drift parameters failing to match those of the market.


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