Monday, May 4, 2015

stochastic calculus - Ho and lee derivation for short rates model


A silly question that is bugging me. I am working my way through Baxter and Rennie (again) and I am getting my wires crossed on the short rate models in particular the straight forward Ho and Lee analysis.


So given the SDE (under the Q measure) drt=σdWt+θtdt where θt is both deterministic and bounded and σ is constant. This becomes rt=f(0,t)+σWt+t0θsds (I hope).


How do I compute the integral Ttrsds


Basically it comes down to computing TtWsds and Tts0θkdk. From first integral is just book work (though it be nice to see a derivation here other than by parts?) It is the later which I am not sure about, as the result is apparently Tt(Ts)θsds Which I am puzzled by?


edit Actually an important piece of information is that I am trying to compute logEQ(eTtrsds|rt=x)=x(Tt)16σ2(Tt)3+T0(Ts)θsds



Answer



For any st, note that rs=rt+σstdWu+stθudu. Then, Ttrsds=(Tt)rt+σTtstdWuds+Ttstθududs=(Tt)rt+σTtTudsdWu+TtTuθudsdu=(Tt)rt+σTt(Tu)dWu+Tt(Tu)θudu. Moreover, EQ(eTtrsdsrt)=e(Tt)rtTt(Tu)θuduEQ(eσTt(Tu)dWurt)=e(Tt)rtTt(Tu)θudueσ22Tt(Tu)2du=e(Tt)rtTt(Tu)θudu+σ26(Tt)3. That is, lnEQ(eTtrsdsrt)=(Tt)rt+Tt(Tu)θuduσ26(Tt)3. If you really need the integral Tts0θududs, you can proceed as follows: Tts0θududs=Ttt0θududs+Ttstθududs=(Tt)t0θuds+TtTuθudsdu=(Tt)t0θuds+Tt(Tu)θudu.


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