A silly question that is bugging me. I am working my way through Baxter and Rennie (again) and I am getting my wires crossed on the short rate models in particular the straight forward Ho and Lee analysis.
So given the SDE (under the Q measure) drt=σdWt+θtdt where θt is both deterministic and bounded and σ is constant. This becomes rt=f(0,t)+σWt+∫t0θsds (I hope).
How do I compute the integral ∫Ttrsds
Basically it comes down to computing ∫TtWsds and ∫Tt∫s0θkdk. From first integral is just book work (though it be nice to see a derivation here other than by parts?) It is the later which I am not sure about, as the result is apparently ∫Tt(T−s)θsds Which I am puzzled by?
edit Actually an important piece of information is that I am trying to compute −logEQ(e−∫Ttrsds|rt=x)=x(T−t)−16σ2(T−t)3+∫T0(T−s)θsds
Answer
For any s≥t, note that rs=rt+σ∫stdWu+∫stθudu. Then, ∫Ttrsds=(T−t)rt+σ∫Tt∫stdWuds+∫Tt∫stθududs=(T−t)rt+σ∫Tt∫TudsdWu+∫Tt∫Tuθudsdu=(T−t)rt+σ∫Tt(T−u)dWu+∫Tt(T−u)θudu. Moreover, EQ(e−∫Ttrsds∣rt)=e−(T−t)rt−∫Tt(T−u)θuduEQ(e−σ∫Tt(T−u)dWu∣rt)=e−(T−t)rt−∫Tt(T−u)θudueσ22∫Tt(T−u)2du=e−(T−t)rt−∫Tt(T−u)θudu+σ26(T−t)3. That is, −lnEQ(e−∫Ttrsds∣rt)=(T−t)rt+∫Tt(T−u)θudu−σ26(T−t)3. If you really need the integral ∫Tt∫s0θududs, you can proceed as follows: ∫Tt∫s0θududs=∫Tt∫t0θududs+∫Tt∫stθududs=(T−t)∫t0θuds+∫Tt∫Tuθudsdu=(T−t)∫t0θuds+∫Tt(T−u)θudu.
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