Friday, June 16, 2017

stochastic processes - demonstrate that a Square-root process is Non-central Chi-squared distributed


how can i prove that the value at some future time t, xt, of the Square-root process at current time t, xt, is Chi-squared distributed?


dxt=k(θxt)dt+βxtdzt


explicitely:


xt=xtek(tt)+θ(1ek(tt))+βttek(tu)xudzu


I just got to mean and variance by Ito's isometry:


Et[xt]=θ+(xtθ)ek(tt)


and



Vart[xt]=β2xtk(ek(tt)e2k(tt))+β2θ2k(1ek(tt)2


in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck case there's no xt in the volatility and therefore the stochastic integral is Normally distributed and everything is fine


unfortunately, I've never met the Non-central Chi-squared distribution before, so I'm not able to understand how to get to it (also because it seems itself pretty a mess to me)




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