how can i prove that the value at some future time t′, xt′, of the Square-root process at current time t, xt, is Chi-squared distributed?
dxt=k(θ−xt)dt+β√xtdzt
explicitely:
xt′=xte−k(t′−t)+θ(1−e−k(t′−t))+β∫t′te−k(t′−u)√xudzu
I just got to mean and variance by Ito's isometry:
Et[xt′]=θ+(xt−θ)e−k(t′−t)
and
Vart[xt′]=β2xtk(e−k(t′−t)−e−2k(t′−t))+β2θ2k(1−e−k(t′−t)2
in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck case there's no √xt in the volatility and therefore the stochastic integral is Normally distributed and everything is fine
unfortunately, I've never met the Non-central Chi-squared distribution before, so I'm not able to understand how to get to it (also because it seems itself pretty a mess to me)
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