Wednesday, February 20, 2019

risk neutral measure - Pricing of compounded swaps


As far as I understand, a compounded swap rolls up individual payments into one final payment which becomes: $$ V(t_n) = N \prod_{i = 0}^{n-1}(1 + d_i L_i)-N $$


where $d_i$ is the day fraction for period $t_i$ to $t_{i+1}$ and $L_i$ is the index for the same period and where $N$ is deducted at the end because we assume no exchange of notional.


Now, to value this we need to calculate the expectation of $V(T)$ under some appropriate numéraire and measure, but we are dealing with products of various $L_i$'s which are, in general, not mutually independent, so it's not a simple matter of replacing with them forwards.


How is this then done? An internet search only revealed simple formulas using forwards. A good reference text would be welcome.


Add 1


Following suggestions in the comments, if I use the adjusted forward numéraire with maturity equal to the payment date $t_n$ and using $P(t_i, t_{i+1}) = \frac{1}{1 + d(t_i,t_{i+1}) L(t, t_{i+1})}$, then I get: $$ V(t) = P(t, t_n) \Bbb{E}^{Q^{t_n}} [V(t_n)|F_t] = N P(t, t_n) \left(\Bbb{E}^{Q^{t_n}} \left[\prod_{i=0}^{n-1} \frac{1}{P(t_i, t_{i+1})} | F_t \right]-1\right) $$



but I'm not sure that this gets me anywhere.




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