Friday, September 14, 2018

derivation of the hedging error in a black scholes setup


I'm reading the following short paper by Davis. In section 2.6 he wants to derive an expression for the hedging error. Assume we have Black scholes setup:


dSt=St(rdt+σdWt) dBt=Btrdt


and let Ch(S,r,σ,t)=C(t,St) be the price time t of an option with exercise value h(ST). By selling at time 0 the option we receive Ch(S0,r,ˆσ,0), where ˆσ is the implied volatility. He assumes that σ=ˆσ, the model volatiltiy is correct.


Assuming that our model is not correct, instead S follows a SDE



dSt=St(α(t,ω)dt+β(ω,t)dWt)


where the involved processes satisfy some regularity condition. We delta hedge the sold option, i.e. the value of our portfolio Xt is given by X0=C(0,S0)


dXt=CSdSt+(XtCSSt)rdt


which is selfinancing. Denoting YtC(t,St) and Zt=XtYt, the hedging error we obtain


ddtZt=rXtrStCStCt12β2tS2t2CS2


denoting Γt=2CS2 and using the Black Scholes PDE we find


ddtZt=rZt+12S2tΓ2t(ˆσ2β2t)


I think the square of the gamma is wrong, it should be Γt.


My question how does he derive the following last expression (Z0=0):


ZT=XTh(ST)=T0er(Ts)12S2tΓ2t(ˆσ2β2t)dt



I guess the dt should be a ds and all t should be replaced with s under the integral. ZT=XTh(ST) is clear, thats true by definition. The very last equality is bothering me.



Answer



The differential equation has a trend due to the interest rate. When you discount you take this trend away: ddt(ertZt)=rertZt+ertddtZt=ert12S2tΓt(ˆσ2β2t) Z doesn't appear on the rhs anymore and you can integrate erTZTer0Z0=T0ert12S2tΓt(ˆσ2β2t)dt and mulitply by erT to get the formula. ZT=T0er(Tt)12S2tΓt(ˆσ2β2t)dt


PS: Note no squared Gamma and no s in the formula.


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