Sunday, January 29, 2017

black scholes - Asian Options-Change of Numeraire


Assume the risk-free bond Bt and the stock St follow the dynamics of the Black & Scholes model


without dividends (with interest rate r, stock drift μ and volatility σ). Show that Su;T:=SuST under the measure QS (with the stock as a numeraire) can be written as exp{(rσ22)(Tu)+σˆWTu} where ˆWt for t[0,T] has the same law of a Wiener process under the QS measure.


I'm stuck on how to solve this question. Would really appreciate the help.



Answer



Let Q be the risk-neutral probability measure which uses the risk-free bank account (Bt) as numeraire. In general, dBt=rtBtdt. In the Black-Scholes setting, rtr, we have Bt=ert.


The stock measure QS uses the compounded stock price Steqt as numeraire and is defined via the Radon Nikodym derivative dQSdQ(t)=B0BtSteqtS0=1ertexp((rq12σ2)t+σWt)eqt=exp(12σ2t+σWt)=E(σWt),



using that dSt=(rq)Stdt+σStdWt. Recall that (Wt) is a standard Brownian motion under Q. Using Girsanov's theorem, we know that QSQ and that the process ˆWt=Wtσt

is a standard Brownian motion under QS.


So, we conclude with Su,T=SuST=exp((rq12σ2)u+σWu((rq12σ2)T+σWT))=exp((rq12σ2)(uT)σ(WTWu))=exp((rq12σ2)(uT)σ(ˆWT+σT(ˆWu+σu)))d=exp((rq12σ2)(Tu)σ(ˆWTu+σ(Tu)))=exp((rq+12σ2)(Tu)σˆWTu)d=exp((rq+12σ2)(Tu)+σˆWTu).


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