Tuesday, December 16, 2014

itos lemma - Solution of Merton's Jump-Diffusion SDE


In many textbooks and also in the original Merton's paper the solution of the SDE


dSt=Stμdt+StσdWt+Std(Ntj=1Vj1)


is written as


St=S0exp((μ12σ2)t+σWt)Ntj=0Vj.


Can someone suggest me a textbook or a paper where the solution is explicitly derived? I am pretty confident that this is an application of the Ito lemma for semimartingale.



Answer




Let dSt=μStdt+σStdWt+StdJt

where Jt=Ntj=1(Vj1)
is a compound Poisson process, with Vj i.i.d. jump sizes (positive random variables) whose statistical properties are not relevant for what needs to be proven and Nt a standard Poisson process of intensity λ. The processes Wt, Nt and the random jump sizes Vj are all assumed to be independent of each other and defined over the same probability space.


Applying Itô's formula for semi-martingales with jumps to the function f(t,St)=ln(St) yields (see here) ln(St)=ln(S0)+(μσ22)t+σWt+t0(ln(Su)ln(Su))dNu

From the SDE we then have that, at a jump time u SuSu=Su(Vj1)Su=SuVj
such that ln(Su)ln(Su)=ln(SuSu)=ln(Vj)
and therefore ln(St)=ln(S0)+(μσ22)t+σWt+Ntj=1ln(Vj)
Finally, because Ntj=1ln(Vj)=ln(Ntj=1Vj)
we get St=S0exp((μσ22)t+σWt)Ntj=1Vj=F(0,t)E(σWt)Ntj=1Vj
with E(Xt):=exp(Xt1/2Xt) denoting the stochastic exponential of a process Xt (Doléans-Dade exponential).


More info on jump processes (and better mathematical treatment because what I wrote is not always rigorous) in this excellent document




Note that because E0[St]=F(0,t)E0[Ntj=1Vj]F(0,t)

the above dynamics cannot be used for risk-neutral pricing purpose.


To obtain a proper risk-neutral framework, the compound Poisson process needs to get compensated by a drift term (so that the whole emerges as a martingale). The resulting SDE writes


dSt=(μk)Stdt+σStdWt+StdJt


where one can show that k=λ(E(V1)1)


and where the solution in that case reads St=F(0,t)E(σWt)ektNtj=1Vj


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