Monday, March 30, 2015

modeling - Accrual in Default Derivation of Credit CDS Curve


In Trading Credit Curves Part I by JP Morgan we have that each point on a credit (CDS) curve represents:


PV(Fee Leg)=PV(Contingent Leg)


which is


Snni=1ΔiPSiDFi+Accrual on Default=(1R)ni=1(Ps(i1)Psi)DFi



where the accrual on Default is Snni=1Δi2(Ps(i1)Psi)DFi


where Sn is the spread for protection to period n, Δi is the length of time period i in years, PSi is the probability of survival to time t, DFi is the risk free discount factor to time i, R is the recovery rate on default


I cannot understand why the accrual on default bit is there and i cannot see how it has been derived and the reasoning behind it. I really dont see why you dont just sum to time n when there is a default and discount that? I dont understand why we need the Δi in the first term on the LHS as it seems superfluous.


I suppose really I dont understand the LHS of the equation derivation at all.



Answer



The formula for the accrual on default Snni=1Δi2(Ps(i1)Ps(i))DFi

is just an approximation that says conditional on default occurring within period i (probability of Ps(i1)Ps(i)), defaults occurs on average in the middle of the period, thus the Δi2 average accrual time from beginning of period to default.


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