Thursday, June 16, 2016

stochastic calculus - How to derive an option price for an asset with these dynamics?



Assuming my underline asset price follows the process:


dln(Ft,T)=(1/2)σ2e2λ(Tt)dt+σeλ(Tt)dBt


How should I derive an option price formula?



Answer



For 0<T0T, consider the option with payoff, at the option maturity T0, of the form max(FT0,TK,0).

Note that FT0,T=F0,Texp(σ22T00e2λ(Tt)dt+σT00eλ(Tt)dBt).
Let ˆσ2=σ2T0T00e2λ(Tt)dt=e2λTσ22λT0(e2λT01).
Then, in distribution, FT0,T=F0,Texp(ˆσ22T0+ˆσT0Z),
where Z is a standard normal random variable. The value of Payoff (1) is now given by erT0[F0,TΦ(d1)KΦ(d2)],
where d1=lnF0,TK+ˆσ22T0ˆσT0,d2=d1ˆσT0,
and Φ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal random variable.


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